《傳產》永慶房屋:房價下修!54%民眾想進場購屋
2009/02/12 12:13 時報資訊
【時報記者郭鴻慧台北報導】永慶房仲網發布最新的「永慶購屋趨勢大調查」,結果顯示高達5成4民眾想進場購屋,較上季4成2大幅增加,僅次於總統選後的六成比重,顯示目前房價已有相當跌幅且在低利環境下,民間資金充沛,民眾手握大筆資金等待降價入市意味濃厚。另外,有五成六民眾認為未來3個月房價會小幅下跌,顯示民眾認為價格小幅下修便願意進場購屋,若屋主願意配合,未來房市才會有擴量發展;此外,全台換屋比重連四季小幅增加、投資比重連三季微幅上揚,北市投資比重較上季增幅最大,顯示目前經濟實力較佳的換屋及中長期投資買氣有逐漸回溫的跡象。
永慶房屋總經理葉凌棋表示,本次調查結果中看好未來半年為購屋好時機的比重高達5成4,在歷次調查中僅次於去年總統選後的6成,更是高於立委選後的5成1,為歷次調查以來次高,顯示在目前不景氣、房價修正及低利環境階段,手頭資金充沛,民眾看中房地產的保值與長期增值效果,紛紛準備等待房價下跌時危機入市。葉凌棋分析,以目前一線經紀人員帶看的情況來看,帶看數較上個月平均增加兩成左右,收斡量也大幅成長一到兩成,但就是雙方價錢很難達成共識,許多待售屋主認為多組買方帶看,就以為目前房市還不錯,普遍對價格較為堅持,有的甚至坐地起價;其實,大多數買方都是抱著撿便宜的心態來看屋,追價意願不高,如果屋主願意配合,相信未來房市成交量才能有效提升。
葉凌棋表示,在歐美金融危機所引爆的全球經濟衰退已經勢不可擋,特別是以出口為主的台灣產業也很難全身而退,農曆年前各行業倒閉、休無薪假、裁員及減薪潮不斷,儘管政府發放消費券刺激經濟及央行緊急降息,民間消費略為改善,但房市交易量並無明顯增多,連許多房仲業都紛紛不支倒地,在這樣不景氣的情況下,民眾對看跌未來房價在所難免。 葉凌棋 分析房地產保值性強,未來長期穩定增值性高,在目前低利環境下,央行將持續逼出銀行龐大的定存資金,過半的民眾仍以房價小幅下跌較符合預期,因此,若屋主肯配合小幅降價,未來房市才能有擴量發展的可能。
葉凌棋表示,目前房價處於盤整修正,但在低利環境的刺激下,有資金實力的換屋及中長期投資族群開始蠢蠢欲動,特別是台灣資金充沛,對房市中長期投資有利,因而投資比重連三季微幅上揚,北市投資比重大幅拉高到27%,較上季增加5個百分點,顯示低利環境下,購屋負擔減輕,不僅對換屋自住有利,目前定存利率過低,投資族群未來也在思考應將資金放到哪個部位最有利。
《傳產》永慶房屋:房價下修!54%民眾想進場購屋
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